Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Skinner 48.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 91.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Evans
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Evans
Skinner
Last 5: Evans 3-2 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
2
Evans
Skinner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Skinner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
46.8% (222)
+7.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
48.7% (78)
+9.6%
On power play, Evans has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Skinner is 25.7% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Evans
Skinner
Home
49.4% (336)
53.8% (169)
Away
54.8% (314)
38.9% (131)
By Period
Evans
Skinner
P1
55.8%
48.1%
P2
51.7%
47.1%
P3
48.2%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |