Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Skinner 43.5% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 91.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.3%
Neutral zone
Skinner 58.4%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Evans
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Evans
Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
2
Evans
Skinner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Skinner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
37.5% (152)
+13.8%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
47.9% (71)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
0.0% (1)
+43.0%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Skinner is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Evans
Skinner
Home
52.1% (503)
41.5% (130)
Away
47.0% (423)
39.4% (94)
By Period
Evans
Skinner
P1
50.5%
32.9%
P2
47.7%
47.1%
P3
51.3%
40.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |