Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Tavares 59.8% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 63.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Evans
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Evans
Tavares
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
7
Evans
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Evans
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
60.9% (1,043)
-9.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
60.4% (278)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
47.6% (21)
-4.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Evans
Tavares
Home
52.1% (503)
63.5% (684)
Away
47.0% (423)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Evans
Tavares
P1
50.5%
60.3%
P2
47.7%
60.4%
P3
51.3%
60.1%
OT
40.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |