Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Tavares 58.7% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Evans
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Evans
Tavares
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Evans
Tavares
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Evans
Tavares
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
2
Evans
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
59.2% (1,035)
-4.8%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
60.0% (310)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
42.9% (7)
+3.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Evans
Tavares
Home
53.7% (581)
57.5% (668)
Away
50.5% (556)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Evans
Tavares
P1
54.6%
58.0%
P2
50.0%
60.1%
P3
52.3%
61.0%
OT
46.7%
27.8%
Final 5 min
49.6%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |