Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Staal 56.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 84.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.2%
21.8%
78.2%
Evans
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Evans
Staal
Last 7: Evans 4-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Evans
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
58.9% (1,041)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
53.4% (73)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
49.1% (171)
-6.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Evans
Staal
Home
52.1% (503)
59.0% (578)
Away
47.0% (423)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Evans
Staal
P1
50.5%
57.1%
P2
47.7%
60.9%
P3
51.3%
55.8%
OT
40.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |