Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 71.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 70.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 57.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Evans
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Evans
Draisaitl
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
6
Evans
Draisaitl
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
52.6% (1,124)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
58.4% (344)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
49.2% (193)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Evans
Draisaitl
Home
52.1% (503)
55.5% (816)
Away
47.0% (423)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Evans
Draisaitl
P1
50.5%
51.1%
P2
47.7%
51.6%
P3
51.3%
56.9%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |