Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Draisaitl 54.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 84.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 68.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 66.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Evans
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Evans
Draisaitl
Last 7: Evans 4-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Evans
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Evans
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
52.4% (974)
+2.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
59.5% (373)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
61.0% (123)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Evans
Draisaitl
Home
49.4% (336)
54.5% (778)
Away
54.8% (314)
55.3% (692)
By Period
Evans
Draisaitl
P1
55.8%
54.6%
P2
51.7%
56.1%
P3
48.2%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |