Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 56-41 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 76.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Evans
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
56
(97 meetings)
41
56
Evans
Draisaitl
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
30
Evans
Draisaitl
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
27
9
Evans
Draisaitl
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
9
17
Evans
Draisaitl
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
52.9% (10,240)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
55.7% (2,827)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
51.2% (977)
-4.1%
On power play, Evans has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Evans
Draisaitl
Home
53.4% (2,593)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Evans
Draisaitl
P1
54.0%
52.7%
P2
50.9%
53.6%
P3
52.0%
53.4%
OT
46.5%
57.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:28 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |