Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 88.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Evans
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Evans
Draisaitl
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
6
Evans
Draisaitl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
1
Evans
Draisaitl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
53.7% (923)
+0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
56.1% (244)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
58.6% (29)
-10.5%
On power play, Evans has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Evans
Draisaitl
Home
55.1% (541)
55.2% (636)
Away
50.8% (581)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Evans
Draisaitl
P1
51.8%
50.8%
P2
53.3%
56.6%
P3
53.8%
54.0%
OT
38.5%
67.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |