Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 85.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 52.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Evans
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Evans
Draisaitl
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
5
Evans
Draisaitl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
8
5
Evans
Draisaitl
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
3
Evans
Draisaitl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
57.4% (1,010)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
56.2% (331)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
54.5% (110)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Evans
Draisaitl
Home
53.7% (581)
56.4% (734)
Away
50.5% (556)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Evans
Draisaitl
P1
54.6%
55.6%
P2
50.0%
62.1%
P3
52.3%
52.4%
OT
46.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 13, 2024 | OT | 01:27 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |