Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 67.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Evans
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Evans
Duchene
Last 10: Evans 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
9
Evans
Duchene
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
46.9% (162)
+4.4%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
73.2% (56)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
100.0% (2)
-57.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Evans
Duchene
Home
52.1% (503)
58.4% (125)
Away
47.0% (423)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Evans
Duchene
P1
50.5%
56.9%
P2
47.7%
52.5%
P3
51.3%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | OT | 00:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |