Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Duchene 52.1% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Evans
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
53.9% (193)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
49.2% (65)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
100.0% (1)
-56.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Evans
Duchene
Home
49.4% (336)
54.9% (113)
Away
54.8% (314)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Evans
Duchene
P1
55.8%
54.9%
P2
51.7%
52.7%
P3
48.2%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%