Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Duchene 51.6% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.8%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Evans
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
51.2% (324)
+5.0%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
60.4% (53)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
16.7% (6)
+38.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Evans
Duchene
Home
55.3% (374)
51.6% (182)
Away
57.1% (317)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Evans
Duchene
P1
58.5%
49.6%
P2
55.7%
56.2%
P3
53.9%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%