Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Backlund 50.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 66.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 58.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Evans
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Evans
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Evans
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
51.5% (983)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
49.4% (87)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
45.3% (159)
-2.3%
On power play, Evans has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Evans
Backlund
Home
52.1% (503)
51.6% (653)
Away
47.0% (423)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Evans
Backlund
P1
50.5%
50.0%
P2
47.7%
49.8%
P3
51.3%
51.7%
OT
40.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |