Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Backlund 48.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 58.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 52.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Evans
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Evans
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
50.4% (1,032)
+4.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
52.3% (107)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
40.6% (313)
+7.5%
On power play, Evans has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Evans
Backlund
Home
55.1% (541)
48.7% (749)
Away
50.8% (581)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Evans
Backlund
P1
51.8%
50.4%
P2
53.3%
50.1%
P3
53.8%
45.8%
OT
38.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jake Evans |