Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Backlund 50.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 68.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 67.0%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Evans
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Evans
Backlund
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Evans
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
2
Evans
Backlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Evans
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
51.9% (1,083)
+2.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
51.7% (120)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
44.3% (183)
-0.4%
On power play, Evans has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Evans
Backlund
Home
49.4% (336)
51.9% (673)
Away
54.8% (314)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Evans
Backlund
P1
55.8%
51.4%
P2
51.7%
50.5%
P3
48.2%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Jake Evans |