Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 52.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Evans
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Evans
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
51.0% (1,205)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
59.3% (108)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
42.3% (234)
+3.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Evans
Backlund
Home
53.7% (581)
51.2% (782)
Away
50.5% (556)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Evans
Backlund
P1
54.6%
51.5%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
52.3%
49.9%
OT
46.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |