Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Granlund 47.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 57.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 77.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 67.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Evans
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Evans
Granlund
Last 8: Evans 6-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
0
Evans
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
47.7% (1,001)
+3.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
53.4% (73)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
40.2% (132)
+2.8%
On even strength, Evans has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Granlund is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Evans
Granlund
Home
52.1% (503)
45.9% (582)
Away
47.0% (423)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Evans
Granlund
P1
50.5%
48.6%
P2
47.7%
46.7%
P3
51.3%
46.9%
OT
40.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |