Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Granlund 45.7% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 80.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 57.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 64.0%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Evans
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Evans
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Evans
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
46.8% (295)
+7.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
38.5% (26)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
36.5% (63)
+7.4%
On power play, Evans has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Granlund is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Evans
Granlund
Home
49.4% (336)
47.8% (178)
Away
54.8% (314)
41.7% (206)
By Period
Evans
Granlund
P1
55.8%
44.7%
P2
51.7%
42.9%
P3
48.2%
45.7%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |