Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Granlund 48.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 75.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Evans
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Evans
Granlund
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
2
3
Evans
Granlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Granlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
48.5% (6,718)
+5.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
52.7% (748)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
43.6% (635)
+3.5%
On power play, Evans has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,959).
Home / Away
Evans
Granlund
Home
53.4% (2,593)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Evans
Granlund
P1
54.0%
48.7%
P2
50.9%
48.7%
P3
52.0%
48.2%
OT
46.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |