Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Granlund 47.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 70.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 65.0%
Neutral zone
Granlund 52.5%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Evans
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Evans
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
46.7% (885)
+7.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
44.9% (69)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
49.0% (98)
-2.9%
On power play, Evans has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Evans
Granlund
Home
53.7% (581)
51.1% (495)
Away
50.5% (556)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Evans
Granlund
P1
54.6%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
46.4%
P3
52.3%
44.3%
OT
46.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Jake Evans |