Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Granlund 48.4% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 75.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Evans
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Evans
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Evans
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
48.7% (446)
+7.5%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
56.6% (99)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
31.1% (61)
+24.3%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Granlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Evans
Granlund
Home
55.3% (374)
53.3% (255)
Away
57.1% (317)
44.4% (351)
By Period
Evans
Granlund
P1
58.5%
51.3%
P2
55.7%
48.8%
P3
53.9%
44.4%
OT
66.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |