Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Rantanen 50.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 83.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 51.4%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 83.9%
16.1%
83.9%
Evans
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Evans
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
50.0% (44)
+6.2%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
50.0% (20)
+20.0%
On power play, Evans has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Rantanen is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
Evans
Rantanen
Home
55.3% (374)
48.4% (31)
Away
57.1% (317)
51.5% (33)
By Period
Evans
Rantanen
P1
58.5%
50.0%
P2
55.7%
33.3%
P3
53.9%
70.6%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |