Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 81.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 94.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 58.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 94.0%
94.0%
6.0%
Evans
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
50.9% (334)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
43.7% (119)
+14.6%
On power play, Evans has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Rantanen is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Evans
Rantanen
Home
49.4% (336)
49.4% (241)
Away
54.8% (314)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Evans
Rantanen
P1
55.8%
47.1%
P2
51.7%
46.7%
P3
48.2%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jake Evans |