Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.9%). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Rantanen 52.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 90.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 51.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Evans
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Evans
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Evans
Rantanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
55.3% (188)
-0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
46.3% (67)
+20.4%
On power play, Evans has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Rantanen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Evans
Rantanen
Home
55.1% (541)
57.3% (143)
Away
50.8% (581)
47.3% (112)
By Period
Evans
Rantanen
P1
51.8%
47.8%
P2
53.3%
56.8%
P3
53.8%
54.5%
OT
38.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |