Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Rantanen 53.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 88.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 92.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.2%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Evans
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Evans
Rantanen
Last 6: Evans 2-4 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
4
Evans
Rantanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
51.7% (346)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
58.5% (164)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
0.0% (1)
+46.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +46.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Evans
Rantanen
Home
53.7% (581)
55.8% (258)
Away
50.5% (556)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Evans
Rantanen
P1
54.6%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
56.6%
P3
52.3%
54.3%
OT
46.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Jake Evans |