Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Rantanen 47.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 78.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Evans
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
46.3% (309)
+5.0%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
51.3% (39)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
16.7% (6)
+26.3%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Rantanen is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Evans
Rantanen
Home
52.1% (503)
51.8% (197)
Away
47.0% (423)
39.5% (157)
By Period
Evans
Rantanen
P1
50.5%
47.2%
P2
47.7%
44.8%
P3
51.3%
46.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |