Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Frost 48.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 77.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 67.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 53.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Evans
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Evans
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Evans
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
47.4% (426)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
63.9% (36)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
20.0% (5)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Evans
Frost
Home
52.1% (503)
51.1% (221)
Away
47.0% (423)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Evans
Frost
P1
50.5%
47.5%
P2
47.7%
52.3%
P3
51.3%
44.7%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |