Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Frost 49.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 81.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Evans
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Evans
Frost
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
48.6% (704)
+5.8%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
55.7% (115)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
25.0% (4)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Frost is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Evans
Frost
Home
53.7% (581)
49.9% (399)
Away
50.5% (556)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Evans
Frost
P1
54.6%
51.2%
P2
50.0%
53.9%
P3
52.3%
42.7%
OT
46.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jake Evans |