Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Frost 46.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 52.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 91.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 71.1%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Evans
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Evans
Frost
Last 5: Evans 5-0 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
45.6% (833)
+8.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
46.0% (100)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
55.6% (18)
-11.7%
On power play, Evans has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Evans
Frost
Home
49.4% (336)
47.0% (440)
Away
54.8% (314)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Evans
Frost
P1
55.8%
42.5%
P2
51.7%
47.9%
P3
48.2%
46.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |