Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Thomas 54.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 82.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 78.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 57.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Evans
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Evans
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
55.3% (990)
-0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
54.2% (190)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
52.5% (158)
-4.4%
On power play, Evans has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Evans
Thomas
Home
55.1% (541)
55.1% (690)
Away
50.8% (581)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Evans
Thomas
P1
51.8%
55.5%
P2
53.3%
56.4%
P3
53.8%
51.5%
OT
38.5%
69.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |