Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Poehling 46.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 80.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 68.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 73.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Evans
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Evans
Poehling
Last 8: Evans 7-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
0
Evans
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
46.5% (269)
+8.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
42.4% (139)
+1.5%
On power play, Poehling has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Poehling is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Evans
Poehling
Home
49.4% (336)
45.2% (177)
Away
54.8% (314)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Evans
Poehling
P1
55.8%
47.7%
P2
51.7%
44.4%
P3
48.2%
44.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jake Evans |