Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Poehling 49.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 55.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Evans
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Evans
Poehling
Last 7: Evans 4-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Evans
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
3
2
Evans
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
50.4% (752)
+4.0%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
37.0% (27)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
45.3% (159)
+0.8%
On power play, Evans has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Evans
Poehling
Home
53.7% (581)
51.2% (467)
Away
50.5% (556)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Evans
Poehling
P1
54.6%
54.6%
P2
50.0%
46.7%
P3
52.3%
46.7%
OT
46.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |