Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Poehling 47.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 52.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 50.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Evans
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Evans
Poehling
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Evans
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Evans
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
4
Evans
Poehling
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
49.8% (626)
+6.4%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
58.3% (12)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
38.2% (207)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Evans
Poehling
Home
55.3% (374)
47.3% (404)
Away
57.1% (317)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Evans
Poehling
P1
58.5%
53.5%
P2
55.7%
39.4%
P3
53.9%
49.1%
OT
66.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jake Evans |