Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Poehling 48.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 54.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 76.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 62.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Evans
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Evans
Poehling
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
Evans
Poehling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
Evans
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
14
7
Evans
Poehling
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
49.4% (2,726)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
51.6% (93)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
41.6% (623)
+5.5%
On power play, Evans has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Poehling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,141).
Home / Away
Evans
Poehling
Home
53.4% (2,593)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Evans
Poehling
P1
54.0%
50.9%
P2
50.9%
47.0%
P3
52.0%
46.9%
OT
46.5%
37.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jake Evans |