Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 82.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 66.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 51.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Evans
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Evans
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
48.0% (275)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
48.1% (52)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
53.1% (32)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Evans shoots right. Reinhart is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Evans
Reinhart
Home
52.1% (503)
49.8% (201)
Away
47.0% (423)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Evans
Reinhart
P1
50.5%
54.8%
P2
47.7%
40.5%
P3
51.3%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |