Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 94.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 73.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 89.5%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 87.8%
12.2%
87.8%
Evans
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Evans
Reinhart
Last 10: Evans 2-8 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
7
Evans
Reinhart
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
42.5% (2,173)
+11.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
46.5% (525)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
41.3% (339)
+5.8%
On power play, Evans has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Evans is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,292).
Evans shoots right. Reinhart is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Evans
Reinhart
Home
53.4% (2,593)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Evans
Reinhart
P1
54.0%
44.5%
P2
50.9%
40.5%
P3
52.0%
44.5%
OT
46.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |