Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 81.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 70.7%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 57.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Evans
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Evans
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Evans
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
49.4% (259)
+5.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
54.4% (136)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
47.9% (71)
-4.0%
On even strength, Evans has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Reinhart is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Evans
Reinhart
Home
49.4% (336)
54.9% (235)
Away
54.8% (314)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Evans
Reinhart
P1
55.8%
52.3%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |