Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 87.7%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 58.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 71.2%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Evans
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Evans
Reinhart
Last 6: Evans 2-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
4
Evans
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
44.6% (345)
+9.8%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
43.3% (97)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
43.2% (88)
+2.9%
On power play, Evans has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Reinhart is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Evans
Reinhart
Home
53.7% (581)
47.9% (267)
Away
50.5% (556)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Evans
Reinhart
P1
54.6%
45.6%
P2
50.0%
42.0%
P3
52.3%
45.4%
OT
46.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |