Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 82.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 63.7%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 71.0%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Evans
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Evans
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Evans
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
44.1% (324)
+10.3%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
40.3% (72)
+26.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
33.9% (118)
+14.2%
On power play, Evans has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Evans shoots right. Reinhart is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Evans
Reinhart
Home
55.1% (541)
40.5% (232)
Away
50.8% (581)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Evans
Reinhart
P1
51.8%
46.4%
P2
53.3%
32.6%
P3
53.8%
45.4%
OT
38.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |