Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Aho 82.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 52.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Evans
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
48.5% (778)
+6.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
63.4% (191)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
50.8% (65)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Evans
Aho
Home
49.4% (336)
51.3% (530)
Away
54.8% (314)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Evans
Aho
P1
55.8%
50.0%
P2
51.7%
51.3%
P3
48.2%
52.1%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%