Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Aho 51.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 87.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 77.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 59.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Evans
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
18
(28 meetings)
10
18
Evans
Aho
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
17
Evans
Aho
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
10
0
Evans
Aho
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Evans
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
50.1% (6,619)
+3.7%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
58.9% (1,310)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
46.3% (464)
+0.8%
On even strength, Evans has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Evans
Aho
Home
53.4% (2,593)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Evans
Aho
P1
54.0%
51.1%
P2
50.9%
52.0%
P3
52.0%
50.7%
OT
46.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |