Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Aho 50.0% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Aho 81.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 88.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Evans
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
49.9% (851)
+6.3%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
53.5% (144)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
43.3% (60)
+12.1%
On power play, Evans has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Evans
Aho
Home
55.3% (374)
53.2% (554)
Away
57.1% (317)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Evans
Aho
P1
58.5%
49.1%
P2
55.7%
50.8%
P3
53.9%
49.7%
OT
66.7%
58.8%
Final 5 min
54.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%