Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Aho 53.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 83.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 83.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Evans
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Evans
Aho
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
8
Evans
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
0
Evans
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Evans
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
51.2% (785)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
63.8% (213)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
57.9% (57)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Evans
Aho
Home
53.7% (581)
54.9% (548)
Away
50.5% (556)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Evans
Aho
P1
54.6%
52.8%
P2
50.0%
58.9%
P3
52.3%
50.6%
OT
46.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |