Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Thompson 44.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 58.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 77.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Evans
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Evans
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
44.6% (709)
+9.8%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
41.5% (53)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
35.1% (97)
+11.0%
On power play, Evans has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Evans
Thompson
Home
53.7% (581)
45.5% (426)
Away
50.5% (556)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Evans
Thompson
P1
54.6%
48.5%
P2
50.0%
43.8%
P3
52.3%
38.1%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Defensive | Jake Evans |