Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 49.8% vs Stützle 40.1% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 50.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 71.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Evans
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Evans
Stützle
Last 10: Evans 6-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
4
Evans
Stützle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Stützle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Stützle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (739)
37.3% (458)
+14.0%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
100.0% (3)
-46.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (172)
50.0% (12)
-7.0%
On power play, Stützle has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Evans shoots right. Stützle is 38.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Evans
Stützle
Home
52.1% (503)
42.8% (229)
Away
47.0% (423)
33.6% (244)
By Period
Evans
Stützle
P1
50.5%
41.8%
P2
47.7%
39.0%
P3
51.3%
33.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
34.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |