Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Evans wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Stützle 52.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 85.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 57.9%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Evans
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Evans
Stützle
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
5
Evans
Stützle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
3
1
Evans
Stützle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
2
Evans
Stützle
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
53.0% (485)
+3.2%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
55.2% (58)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
56.7% (30)
-1.3%
On power play, Evans has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Evans shoots right. Stützle is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Evans
Stützle
Home
55.3% (374)
52.5% (282)
Away
57.1% (317)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Evans
Stützle
P1
58.5%
52.1%
P2
55.7%
56.2%
P3
53.9%
52.0%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |