Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Stützle 45.8% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 27-22 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 61.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 86.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 67.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Evans
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
22
(49 meetings)
27
22
Evans
Stützle
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
3
13
Evans
Stützle
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
12
3
Evans
Stützle
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
12
6
Evans
Stützle
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
45.1% (2,292)
+8.7%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
55.4% (101)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
47.7% (86)
-0.6%
On even strength, Evans has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Stützle is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (990).
Home / Away
Evans
Stützle
Home
53.4% (2,593)
47.7% (1,282)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
43.4% (1,197)
By Period
Evans
Stützle
P1
54.0%
47.1%
P2
50.9%
45.4%
P3
52.0%
44.1%
OT
46.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 16:27 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |