Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Stützle 47.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 54.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 70.7%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Evans
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Evans
Stützle
Last 8: Evans 5-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Stützle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Stützle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
45.3% (468)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
62.5% (24)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
60.0% (20)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Evans shoots right. Stützle is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Evans
Stützle
Home
53.7% (581)
46.3% (270)
Away
50.5% (556)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Evans
Stützle
P1
54.6%
46.1%
P2
50.0%
45.8%
P3
52.3%
48.2%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |