Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Stützle 48.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Stützle leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 80.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.1%
Neutral zone
Stützle 55.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Evans
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Evans
Stützle
Last 7: Evans 4-3 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
2
Evans
Stützle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
1
Evans
Stützle
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
3
Evans
Stützle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
47.7% (398)
+6.7%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
50.0% (10)
+16.7%
On power play, Evans has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Stützle is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Evans
Stützle
Home
55.1% (541)
53.4% (236)
Away
50.8% (581)
40.1% (172)
By Period
Evans
Stützle
P1
51.8%
49.1%
P2
53.3%
41.3%
P3
53.8%
53.9%
OT
38.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |